Lyxor ETF Stoxx 600 Technology (TNO) - 13/12/2018
Short Term strategy: Negative (20%) / Trend +
Long Term strategy: Negative (30%) / Trend =
Characteristics of the ETF
The ETF Lyxor TNO (Technology Europe UCITS) created in 08/2006, is listed in Euro on Euronext and seeks to replicate the index Stoxx Europe 600 Technology (SX8R) which is composed of the 30main European technology stocks.
The costs of this ETF are 0.3% and the AUM approximately 55M€. Replication is indirect (via Swap) and there is a dividend capitalization policy.
Alternative ETFs: EXV3 (iShares in Euro), SYQ (BNP Paribas Easy, in Euro)
Latest developments
In 2017, the TNO ETF posted a 21% performance, twice the performance of the stoxx600 (10.6%), but in 2018 the index was down -4.8% against -7.6% for the Stoxx600NR. The index followed the Nasdaq100 in its very strong consolidation, driven by the GAFAS and is now rebounding with them.
The software industry with SAP and Dassault Systèmes, which together account for 30% of the index's capitalization, has fallen sharply since its peaks and looks set for an extended rebound. Semiconductors are rather in a phase of stabilization after a sharp fall, and could support the index in a second time.
Valuations have come down significantly and the European technology sector is becoming attractive again.
Index & components
This index is quite concentrated since it has only 30 holdings. The first four stocks in the index (SAP, ASML Holding, Amadeus and Nokia) alone account for 57% of the total and have fairly high market capitalizations (€ 110n for SAP, € 62bn for ASML, € 27bn for Amadeus and € 28bn for Nokia).
This sector is characterized by high growth rates and high multiples, but most of the companies that make up the index do not disappoint, and on the contrary regularly revise their prospects upward due to very strong positions, most often world leader with duopoly situation (for SAP) or leading actor (ASML) for laser lithography.
The technological sector is key in the context of major industrial changes and is part of major modernization / productivity factors and new services (digitization, new generation network equipment etc ...). This sector should be one of the big winners of global growth, which makes it eligible for our long-term strategy (Megatrend Euro), especially since very qualitative companies - apart from three companies already mentioned - and in a position of No. 1 worldwide in their segment are heavily weighted like Dassault Systèmes (3D digital model), or Sage (software for SMEs).
All companies in this index account for a large share of their sales in the US and therefore have significant exposure to the dollar and the US economy, some are also present in Asia, particularly in China and Japan. However, we consider that the direct currency risk is low because most companies are listed in euros.
The volatility of this tracker is not particularly high and is very influenced by the evolution of the Nasdaq, market leader of technology stocks and of course GAFAs, Apple's developments have a lot of impact on the technology compartment in general and on its supply chain in particular (electronic components such as Dialog or AMS). The high valuations of this index imply double-digit growth rates over time. However, the long-term themes tend to multiply (Blockchain, AI, Robotics ...) which always feeds more hope of growth.
Weekly data
The weekly chart shows a bearish phase on the medium term horizon, which seems to mark a pause on the support materialized by the EMA200. The moving averages are descending but the technical oscillators are beginning to turn upward, which reinforces the scenario of a rebound for a few weeks which could target the EMAs20 / 26 area located at around 48 €.
Daily data
On the daily chart we can observe the current rebound that results in the bullish breakout of the EMA26 and the bullish reversal of all the technical oscillators. The natural target of this rebound is the EMA100 located at 48 €. However this moving average is declining which leaves little chance to the index to restore an uptrend in the immediate future, a pull-back is threfore rather likely on the EMA100 level.
ETF Objective
TNO is a UCITS ETF, listed in EUR, which seeks to replicate the STOXX Europe 600 Technology Net Return index (30 european companies)
Characteristics
Inception date | 18/08/2006 |
Expense ratio | 0,30% |
Benchmark | SX8R - Stoxx 600 Technology |
Ticker | TNO |
ISIN | FR0010344796 |
UCITS | Yes |
EU-SD status | Out of scope |
Currency | € |
Exchange | Euronext Paris |
Assets Under Management | 57 M€ |
Replication Method | Indirect (via a swap) |
dividend | Capitalization |
PEA (France) | Yes |
SRD (France) | Yes |
Currency risk | Low |
Number of holdings | 30 |
Risk | 3/5 |
Country Breakdown
Germany | 35% |
Netherlands | 19% |
France | 13% |
Sweden | 9% |
Finland | 8% |
Spain | 7% |
United Kingdom | 4% |
Others | 4% |
Sector Breakdown
Information technology | 97% |
Communication services | 3% |
Top Ten holdings
SAP | 26% |
ASML Holding | 16% |
Nokia | 8% |
Amadeus | 7% |
Ericsson | 6% |
Infineon | 5% |
Cap Gemini | 4% |
Dassault Systèmes | 4% |
Hexagon | 3% |
STMicroelectronics | 2% |