Real Estate Eurozone (EEE) : The quiet force

BNPP Easy EPRA/NAREIT Eurozone Capped (EEE) - 18/03/19

Short Term trend: Positive (90/100)
Long Term trend: Positive (55/100)

(computed by our proprietary algorithms)

Characteristics of the ETF

The ETF BNP-Paribas EEE (Real Estate euro zone) created in 10/2015 in Euro and listed on Euronext seeks to replicate the index FTSE EPRA / NAREIT Eurozone Capped Net Total Return composed of 46 property values ​​of the Euro zone, of which approximately 68 % of German and French holdings.

The fees of this ETF are 0.4% and the AUM of approximately €655m. Replication is physical and there is a dividend policy.

Alternative ETFs: MEH (Lyxor in Euro), EPRE (Amundi in Euro), EXI5 (iShares in Euro)

Index & components

The objective of the ETF BNP Paribas EEE is to replicate the performance of the FTSE EPRA / NAREIT Eurozone Capped Net Total Return index, which is composed of the main property values ​​representative of the listed real estate sector in the euro zone.

EEE is quite diversified, it is composed of 46 property stocks, of which 36% are German, 32% French and for the rest mainly Spanish (7%) and Belgians (11%). The top 10 stocks account for around 58% of the index's capitalization, and the top 3 hold about 27%: (Unibail-Rodamco 9.3%), Vonovia (9.9%) and Deutsche Wohnen (8%), with market capitalizations between € 13 and € 20bn.

The real estate sector is influenced by many factors, the most important of which is certainly the inflation / interest rate pair. A low rate environment not associated with deflation is very favorable for real estate companies who generally use leverage to buy assets and which are also yield values. Large listed property companies often seek quality assets, which allow them greater visibility on revenues and a better valuation.

The two most represented countries are Germany and France, which offer different but also interesting features. In Germany, the price of assets has risen a lot recently but is cheaper than in France with a high appreciation potential while the dynamism of the German economy is a real asset. Moreover, there is a delay in the construction of housing, compared to the demand that comes in support for prices, as in France. The regulatory framework (eg rent ceilings), taxation and demography are also important factors.

We can distinguish two main businesses for listed property companies, which are residential (eg Vonovia and Deutsche Wohnen) and commercial real estate (eg Unibail-Rodamco), which have different business models with generally better resilience for commercial real estate apart from severe crises. The scarcity of quality assets which restrains organic growth should lead to a consolidation of the sector, especially as the interest rate environment remains extremely favorable. There is also growing diversification in retirement home walls by some actors.

The European property sector remains promising, given the better prospects in the euro zone, particularly in France. However, it is important to pay attention to a possible change in monetary policy of the ECB which could lead to a new upward cycle on interest rates. The EEE ETF is growing steadily, with moderate volatility, which allowed resilience in 2018 (-6.4% versus -10.7% for the Stoxx600NR).

European long-term rates are expected to remain weak in the coming months, due to lack of inflation and moderate growth in the euro area. The sector also offers comfortable returns which provides some security for the investor as well as significant growth potential as long as the low interest rate environment persists.

Monthly data

The monthly chart shows a positive long-term trend that has not really been threatened by the late 2018 correction. Prices have quickly returned above the moving averages 13 & 26 which are again on the upside and oscillators are coming back to the high zone, which calls for a new bullish swing in the coming weeks.

Weekly data

On the weekly chart, we can see that the index ended the correction started in the summer of 2018. The EMAs 13 & 26 have just crossed again upward and all the technical oscillators have become positive again. The index is likely to achieve new highs in the coming weeks, resuming its mid-term bullish trajectory whose low limit is represented by the EMA100 and the upward bound by the ascending channel.

Theme

EEE is a UCITS ETF, listed in EUR, which seeks to replicate the FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Eurozone Capped (NTR) index

Characteristics

Inception date 21/10/2015
Expense ratio 0,40%
Benchmark FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Eurozone Capped Net Total Return
Code / Ticker EEE
ISIN LU0950381748
Issuer BNPP Easy
Currency
UCITS Yes
Exchange Euronext
Assets Under Management  655 M€
Replication Method Physical
PEA (France) No
SRD (France) Yes
Dividend Distribution (capitalization for EEA)
Currency Risk No
Number of Holdings 48
Risk 3/5

Country Breakdown

Germany 35%
France 33%
Belgium 9%
Spain 8%
Netherlands 4%
Ireland 3%
Luxembourg 3%
Others 6%

Sector Breakdown

Real Estate 100%

Top Ten holdings

Vonovia 10%
Unibail Rodamco 9%
Deutsche Wohnen 8%
Gecina 7%
Leg Immobilien 6%
Klepierre 4%
Covivio 4%
Merlin Properties 4%
Aroundtown 4%
Immobiliaria Colonia 3%