Indice CAC Mid60 (CACM) : Enough is enough?

Lyxor ETF CAC Mid60 UCITS (CACM) - 10/01/19

Short Term strategy: Negative (20%) / Trend +
Long Term strategy: Negative (30%) / Trend =

Characteristics of the ETF

The CACM ETF (Lyxor), created in 05/2011 is listed in Euro on Euronext Paris and replicates the CAC Mid 60 Gross Total Return index which is composed of 60 French mid-cap companies ranked among the 61st and 120th most traded stocks on Euronext Paris.

The fee of the CACM ETF is 0.5% and the AUM is € 44M. Replication is indirect (via swap) and there is a dividend distribution policy.

Alternative ETFs: EWQ (iShares)

 

Index & components

CACMID60 is made up of "big mid-caps", of which the three most represented sectors are industry (25%), Finance (17% and health (14%).

The first 10 lines represent 34% of the capitalization and are composed of emblematic growth stocks such as Eurofins Scientific, Rubis or Orpea but also leading companies in their sectors such as Ipsen or Getlink.

Unlike the CAC40, the index does not include banks or major oil companies. The CACMID 60 index is composed of companies that are more dependent on the domestic market than the world leaders in cac40 but are already very international and very structured. Above all, their growth potential appears on average to be much greater than the large groups of the CAC40, since they often evolve in still fragmented and growing markets (health, technology, consumer goods), but also cyclical for a significant part of the index (industry and materials account for 25% of capitalization), which should continue to benefit from the improvement in the French economy.

One of the characteristics of these companies, is that they are more easily targets than the CAC40 groups, because of a lower market capitalization, without the capital being on average more controlled. The increase in M ​​& A transactions should therefore benefit the index in the coming months. The medium-term potential of the index is high, especially as the valuation looks rather undemanding after the correction and because of the growth potential.

Latest developments

The CACMid60 rose by 25.1% in 2017, a performance well above the CAC40 (+ 9.3%) as it was already the case in 2016 (+ 7.9% against + 4.9%) However the index has posted a decrease of 17.3% in 2018, underperforming the CAC40 (-11%) for the first time in a long time.

The MIDCAC60 index suffered from its industrial component, which was influenced by economic slowdown in Europe’s expectations, and at the same time from a readjustment of multiples for growths companies that had become too expensive.

The readjustment took place on multiples, and  is in process for EPS that explains the current rebound, because the index is now clearly less risky.

Weekly data

The weekly chart shows a medium-term bearish trend, and at the same time a strong bullish reaction for 2 weeks, with a recovery underway over the EMA200. In case of confirmation of this crossing, the bearish movement would be stopped but it will take more for the index to turn upwards. The technical oscillators give the first signs of reversal, which must be confirmed.

Daily data

On the daily chart we can see a prices reversal on the current short-term horizon, whose confirmation will have to come from the crossing of EMAs13 and 26, which could give rise at the same time to a return of prices in this zone. The rise is powerful and uninterrupted which reinforces the probability of a continuation of the movement in the medium term.

Theme

CACM is a UCITS ETF, which seeks to replicate the CAC Mid60 Gross Total Return index (60 french companies)

Characteristics

Inception date 13/05/2011
Expense ratio 0,50%
Issuer Lyxor
Benchmark CAC Mid60 Gross Total Return
Ticker CACM
ISIN FR0011041334
UCITS Yes
EU-SD Status Out of scope
Currency
Exchange Euronext Paris
Assets Under Management 44 M€
Dividend Distribution
PEA (France) Yes
SRD (France) Yes
Number of Holdings 60
Risk 3/5

Country Breakdown

France 93%
Luxembourg 4%
Netherlands 3%

Sector Breakdown

Industrials 25%
Healthcare 17%
Financials 14%
Communication services 11%
Information technology 7%
Consumer discretionary 7%
Real Estate 6%
Others 13%

Top ten holdings

Groupe Eurotunnel 5%
ADP 4%
Ipsen 4%
Rubis 4%
Orpéa 3%
Eurofins Scientific 3%
Bolloré 3%
Iliad 3%
CNP Assurances 3%
Covivio 3%