Lyxor ETF Stoxx600 Telecom - TEL - 27/11/2018
Short Term strategy: Positive (70%) / Trend +
Long Term strategy: Negative (10%) / Trend +
Characteristics of the ETF
The Lyxor TEL ETF (UCITS) was created in 08/2006 , is listed in Euro on Euronext and tracks the Stoxx600 Telecom Europe index, which is composed of the 19 main European stocks in the sector. It should be noted that non-euro area stocks represent 45% of the index, 30% of which is in sterling, which represents a potentially significant volatility factor for the index.
The cost of this ETF is 0.3% in the average of our selection and the AUM is approximately € 52m. The replication method is indirect (via a swap) and the distribution method is by capitalization.
Alternative ETFs: EXV2 ( iShares in Euro), CT5 ( Amundi in Euro), TELW ( Lyxor in GBP)
Index & components
The TEL (Lyxor) tracker allows investors to access a basket of 19 large European telecom stocks with characteristics of being mainly English and German (48% of the index).
These are mainly large market capitalisations (between € 10 and € 80bn), which have a turnover consisting mostly of a strong local base with defensive characteristics but with intense competition that drives prices, capital intensity due to investments in fixed and mobile networks. It should also be noted that Vodafone, which represents 20% of the index, is a company that has become highly internationalized and pursues a double strategy as a cable operator and world leader in mobile. European companies have generally stabilized their dividend payments thanks to a greater control of their cash flows through the control of Investments and especially the reduction of operating expenses.
The payment of high dividends (about 4% yield) is an attribute of the sector that makes a large part of its attractiveness on the stock market.
The major European operators have invested heavily in optical fiber and content in order to eventually have greater control over selling prices. Telecoms are an area where there is good medium-term visibility (no rupture or "uberisation" on the horizon), the players in place have already sharply lowered the price of subscriptions.
The currency risk exists because of the high proportion of UK stocks in the index, and therefore mainly focus on the € / £ parity. The volatility of this index has historically been fairly moderate, but has tended to increase in recent years as a result of price pressure, the halt of dividends payment by certain companies (eg Telecom Italia) and too high leverage.
Latest developments
In 2017, the TEL tracker was stable but markedly underperforming the Stoxx600 NR (+ 10.6%). Since the beginning of the year 2018 the sector recorded a decrease of -4.6% against -5.4% for the stoxx600NR. Outperformance relative to the benchmark is a new fact as the index has accumulated a lot of lag throughout the year.
The downturn in the index occurs in the wake of Vodafone, which is recovering nearly 15% in November after the confirmation of its dividend while Telecom Italia resumes 10%. 4G / then 5G and fiber are expected to play an important role in refocusing the sector in the medium term, but in the short term, there is a lack of growth drivers. However, the risk aversion of the markets makes the sector more attractive because of its lack of cyclicality and its high dividend yields. The relative performance of the sector has improved significantly in recent weeks.
Weekly data
The weekly chart shows a medium-term upward trend, which translates into the bullish cross between EMAs13 and 26 and the bullish reversal of technical indicators. However the index is still capped by the EMA100, which acts as major resistance. Its overtaking would confirm the reversal in progress over the medium term horizon.
Daily data
On the daily chart we see a strong bullish start, which includes a gap and the EMA200 overtaking at the same time. This is a credible reversal on the short-term horizon that could herald a more general recovery afterwards. The confirmation of the gap at the end of the week is an important issue, as it could prove to be a "starting gap " that foreshadows a long-term trend change.
ETF Objective
TEL is a UCITS ETF, listed in EUR, which seeks to replicate the STOXX Europe 600 Telecommunications Net Return EUR index (19 european companies)
Characteristics
Inception date | 25/08/2006 |
Expense ratio | 0,30% |
Issuer | Lyxor |
Benchmark | Stoxx 600 Telecom |
Ticker | TEL |
ISIN | FR0010344812 |
UCITS | Yes |
EU-SD Status | Out of scope |
Currency | € |
Exchange | Euronext Paris |
Dividend | Capitalization |
Assets Under Management | 52 M€ |
PEA | Yes |
SRD | Yes |
Currency risk | Yes (£/€) |
Number of Holdings | 19 |
Risk | 4/5 |
Country Breakdown
United Kingdom | 30% |
Germany | 18% |
Spain | 15% |
France | 12% |
Sweden | 6% |
Switzerland | 5% |
Others | 13% |
Sector Breakdown
Communication services | 100% |
Top Ten Holdings
Vodafone | 19% |
Deutsche Telekom | 16% |
Telefonica | 14% |
Orange | 12% |
BT Group | 10% |
Telenor | 4% |
Swisscom | 4% |
Telia | 4% |
Tel Ita | 3% |
Koninklije | 3% |