Eurazeo (RF) – likely acceleration

RF - 14/03/19

Short Term trend: Positive (70/100)

Long Term trend: Positive (60/100)

(scores computed by our proprietary algorithms)

We buy Eurazeo (Trade alert published on 13/03/19)

 

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Company Profile

Eurazeo is an investment holding company, which manages around € 17bn in assets worldwide.

Its main purpose is to help the companies in which it invests to transform and create value. Eurazeo is mainly focused on private equity (60% of assets), and therefore the value of its investments is more difficult to evaluate. However Eurazeo has known brands in its catalog like Carambar, Europcar, Elis or Dessange.

The company is exposed to the macroeconomic cycle, including the interest rate dynamics because it uses leverage to acquire new holdings while the cycle also conditions the assets value.

Eurazeo capitalizes approximately € 5bn and is listed in Euro on Euronext Paris.

 

Revenues 2019 : 4295 M€ / Revenues 2020 : 4630 M€

EBIT 2019 : 545 M€ / EBIT 2020 : 743M€

Net Results 2019 :  378 M€ /Net results 2020 : 411 M€

Net Debt 2019 :  2554 M€/  Net Debt 2020 : 2149M€

Dividend 2019 : 1.30€  / Dividend 2020 : 1.40€

Market Capitalization : 5154 M€

PER 2019 : 15.9x  /PER 2020 : 14.2x

(Estimated datas)

 

 

Risks/opportunities

The stock fell by 18.4% in 2018 due to worries about global growth and a possible strong negative impact on the global financial system.

The historical volatility of the stock was confirmed, but the stock price rebounded by almost 9% in 2019. 2018 was structuring for Eurazeo from an acquisition point of view, with in particular the purchase of Idinvest, a very complementary financial company specialized in Venture Capital and private debt. Eurazeo has also announced the acquisition of a stake in DORC, a Dutch medical technology company.

Eurazeo's priority is to continue its internationalization, strengthen its skills to improve its risk profile while Europe now accounts for 60% of its assets.

Technical analysis

Monthly data

The monthly chart shows that the correction in progress since the beginning of 2018 is coming to an end with the bullish crossing of the EMAs 13 and 26 and the reversal of the RSI indicator above the level of 50. However, a confirmation pulse is still missing so that the trend really reboots, and that the stock starts a new bullish wave towards the 2018 peak located 25% higher.

Weekly data

On the weekly chart, we can visualize a "round bottom" pattern whose implication is bullish. This structure should soon lead to the crossroads of the EMAs 13 and 26 that will validate the start of a bullish wave in the medium term. The technical oscillators are well oriented and a bullish acceleration is likely after exceeding the resistance located at 69 €.