EPRA/NAREIT Eurozone (EEE) : A well-established routine

BNPP Easy EPRA/NAREIT Eurozone Capped (EEE) - 20/06/2017

Short Term Strategy : Positive
Long Term Strategy : Positive

Characteristics of the ETF

The objective of the ETF BNP Paribas EEA is to replicate the performance of the FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Eurozone Capped Net Total return index, composed of the main real estate companies of the european sector listed in the eurozone.

This ETF is managed in physical replication and its expenses are 0.50%, the Fund's liquidity is rather high for a European ETF, at 456 M €. Dividends are distributed, but there is a version with the dividends capitalized (EEA).

EEA is fairly diversified, it consists of 49 properties of which 33% are German, 29% French, and for the remaining Spanish (9%), Belgium (8%) and Dutch (5%). The top 10 stocks represent approximately 58% of the index capitalisation, and the top 3% of the index is: (Unibail-Rodamco 10%), Vonovia (9%) and Deutsche Wohnen (8%), with market capitalisations ranging from 13 to 23 Bn €.

The Index started its sixth consecutive annual increase and grew by 11.6% since the beginning of 2017. The property sector is influenced by many factors, the most important of which is the inflation/interest rate. A low interest rate environment that is not associated with deflation is very favourable to the properties that typically uses leverage to buy assets and which are in addition usually offering significant yield to their shareholders. Large listed REITs often seek quality assets, allowing them to gain greater visibility on income and better valuation. The two most represented countries are Germany and France, which offer different but interesting characteristics. In Germany, asset prices have risen significantly but are less expensive than in France, with strong upside potential, while the dynamism of the German economy is a real asset. Moreover, there is a delay in housing construction, compared to the demand which support prices, as in France.

The regulatory framework (e.g. rental CAP), taxation and demographics are also important factors. There are two main business lines for listed property companies, residential (e.g. Vonovia and Deutsche Wohnen) and commercial real estate (e.g. Unibail-Rodamco), which have different logic with generally greater resilience for commercial property outside of severe crises. The scarcity of quality assets that offset organic growth should lead to consolidation in the sector, especially as the rate environment remains extremely favourable. There is also a growing diversification in the nursery assets of some of the players. The European property sector remains promising, due to the better outlook in the Eurozone, supported by the election of Emmanuel Macron.

However, it is important to keep attention to a possible change in the ECB monetary policy that could result in a new cycle of rising rates.

Monthly data

The analysis of monthly charts shows an index in full swing. The trend has been well established since 2012, which is reflected in ascending moving averages, while consolidations are systematically halted by EMA 13 or 26. After the correction in October and November 2016, MACD had a bearish crossover, but the current rebound enabled it to reverse.

EEE is no longer far from the peaks of 2007 to €265, which is a goal and the next resistance.

Weekly data

L’analyse des graphiques moyen terme montre un « tempo » assez régulier sur EEE. Dans les phases de correction, celui-ci vient régulièrement s’appuyer sur la M100exp avant de généralement repartir pour une nouvelle oscillation haussière de 15 à 20%. Actuellement, la M100exp se situe à 219€ et les cours environ 13% plus haut. Cela  implique qu’il reste encore probablement une hausse résiduelle limitée avant le prochain sommet, ce qui est cohérent avec l’analyse long terme.

 

ETF Objective

The objective of this ETF is to replicate as closely as possible the performance of the FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Eurozone Capped Net Total Return index.

It offers investors access to the real estate equity market representative of the listed real estate sector in the euro zone.

Characteristics

Inception date 21/10/2015
Expenses 0,50%
Benchmark FTSE EPRA/NAREIT Eurozone Capped Net Total Return
Code / Ticker EEE
ISIN LU0950381748
Issuer BNPP Easy
Currency
UCITS Yes
EU-SD Status Out of scope
Exchange Luxembourg
Assets Under Management 457 M€
Method of replication Direct (Physical)
PEA (France) No
SRD (France) Yes
Dividend Distribution (capitalisation for EEA)
Currency Risk No
Number of Holdings 49
Risk 3/5

 

 

 

 

 

 

Country Breakdown

Germany 33%
France 29%
Spain 9%
Belgium 8%
Netherlands 5%
Austria 4%
Luxembourg 3%
Others 7%

 

Sector Breakdown

Real Estate 91%
Industrials 5%
Others 4%

Top Ten Holdings

Unibail Rodamco 10%
Vonovia 9%
Deutsche Wohnen 8%
Klepierre 7%
Leg Immobilien 6%
Gecina 4%
Merlin Properties Socimi 4%
Foncière des Régions 4%
Icade 3%
Buwog-Gemeinnutzige Wohnung 3%