Food & Beverage Europe (FOO) : Plays perfectly his role (defensive)

Food & Beverage Europe (FOO) - 24/05/19

Short Term trend: Positive (90/100)
Long Term trend: Positive (100/100)

Scores computed by our proprietary algorithms - cf methodology

Characteristics of the ETF

The Lyxor FOO ETF (UCITS), created in 08/2006 is listed in Euro on Euronext and replicates the Stoxx Europe 600 Food Index (SXR3), which is composed of the 24 main European agri-food stocks.

It should be noted that stocks ​​outside the Euro Zone represent 60% of the index, which is not insignificant given the potentially significant fluctuations of the £ and CHF against the Euro.

The fee of this ETF is 0.3% and the AUM is approximately € 165m. The replication method is indirect (via a swap) and the distribution method is capitalized.

Alternative ETFs: EXH3 (iShares in Euro), XS3R (DB-X in Euro).

 

Index & components

This index is fairly concentrated since it has only 24 stocks while Nestlé represents around 30% of the index due to its market capitalization of more than € 200bn.

This sector is characterized by a proven defensive nature: during crises and recessions, the outperformance of the index can be significant, as we have seen in recent years due to its non-cyclical nature as food is the last budget cut by households in case of difficulties.

Agribusiness is also a growing sector because of the willingness of emerging countries to meet Western standards in terms of quality (mineral water, milk etc...), while in the West food is increasingly perceived as a product that has an impact on health, we are now talking about "foodtech" that is to say the inclusion of health benefits in a food product such as probiotics or omega-3 to quote known examples.

This has the effect of reinforcing the trend towards higher value-added and more qualitative products which is positive for margins, but conversely the risks also increase with a greater demand for transparency and for more advanced and systematic ingredient risk testing leading to certain products being strongly implicated, such as Nutella criticized because of the presence in some of its products of palm oil (aspartame) and DEHP (phthalate) deemed dangerous to health.

In addition, the index includes a large share of spirits and brewers, which are also growing due to the increasing adoption of liquors and spirits and beers, which may also depend also sometimes on fashion phenomena depending on the country, crops and climate.

All companies in this index account for a large share of their international sales and therefore have significant exposure to the dollar and the US economy, as well as in Asia and especially in China where local competitors are becoming increasingly aggressive. Direct currency risk is important because the majority of companies are listed in Swiss Francs and Sterling, compared to around 40% quoted in Euro.

 After a year of decline in 2018 (-6.7%), but less marked than that of the benchmark index (Stoxxx600NR : -10.7%), the FOO index is back in force in 2019 (+ 22.4%) with a better momentum  than the market (stoxx600NR) which surprises all the more as this rebound comes after a slight decline.

This rebound is due to the better performance of the two giants, Nestle after strong results led by the US and China and AB Inbev which has reduced its debt by making asset disposals. In general, the sector is rebounding because of good numbers in the Chinese and US markets, and reassuring prospects for 2019.

Technical Analysis

Weekly data analysis

The weekly chart shows a very strong rise in the index since the end of the range at the beginning of the year, despite a slight decline during the year-end correction in 2018. While the indices start short-term correction the index stabilizes on its highs and far from its averages. The relative strength of the index is impressive, but the oscillators indicate an overbought that could impose a prolonged pause or a return on averages.

Daily data analysis

The daily chart shows a progression of an impressive regularity since the beginning of the year. Prices are virtually uninterrupted and without volatility, which causes no short-term pressure on technical indicators that have not entered the overbought zone. The relative behavior of the index has been very positive for a few days in a context of market corrections.

Theme

FOO is a UCITS ETF, listed in EUR, which seeks to replicate the STOXX Europe 600 Food & Beverage Net Return EUR (24 european companies)

Characteristics

Inception date 18/08/2006
Expense ratio 0,30%
Benchmark STOXX Europe 600 Food & Beverage Net Return EUR
Issuer Lyxor
Ticker MMS
ISIN LU1834985845
UCITS Yes
EU-SD status Out of scope
Currency
Exchange Euronext Paris
Assets Under Management 165 M€
Replication method Indirect (swaps)
Dividend Capitalization
PEA (France) Yes
SRD (France) Yes
Currency risk Yes
Number of Holdings 24
Risk 3/5

Country Breakdown

Switzerland 34%
United Kingdom 18%
France 16%
Belgium 13%
Netherlands 6%
Others 9%

Sector Breakdown

Consumer staples 100%

Top Ten Holdings

Nestlé 31%
Diageo 15%
Anheuser-Busch Inbev 13%
Danone 9%
Pernod-Ricard 7%
Heineken 5%
Kerry Group 3%
Carlsberg 3%
Associated British Food 2%
Mowi ASA 2%