Lyxor MSCI Korea (KRW) : In accumulation phase

Lyxor MSCI Korea (KRW) - 19/04/19

Short Term trend: Positive (75/100)
Long Term trend: Positive (85/100)

(scores computed by our proprietary algorithms - cf methodology)

Characteristics of the ETF

The KRW (Lyxor) tracker replicates the MSCI Korea index of the 114 main Korean stocks. It is therefore a rather deep index, but this ETF quoted in Euro on Euronext is very focused on technology that weighs 40% of the capitalization, but even more, a value, Samsung, weighs for 27% of the index. The other main sectors are finance (12%), consumer goods (11%), industry (8%) and mining (8%). The top 10 stocks weigh a little more than 50% or about 25% off Samsung.

This tracker naturally embeds the risk related to the country's currency, the Won (which means "round" in Korean), more volatile than the reference currencies, but the big companies like Samsung realize almost all of their business in the USA, China or Europe and have ultimately limited exposure to the Won.

The ETF fee is 0.45%. The AUM of the Fund is € 105millions.

Alternative ETFs: EWY (iShares in USD)

Index profile

Korea ranks 11th in terms of GDP ($ 1400bn) between Russia and Canada ; the country has experienced spectacular growth over the last 30 years, yet its strong exposure to finance and global trade hit it hard during the 2008 financial crisis. Its economy was one of the worst affected in the Asia-Pacific area, however, South Korea was also one of the first to rebound thanks to exports and fiscal stimulus.

In 2017, in the context of rising tensions with North Korea, South Korea has awarded a record amount to defense, but the budget also aims to support job creation and develop the health system. The country faces structural problems such as the under-sizing of the financial market, the aging of the population, export dependence and the erosion of the country's competitiveness in the face of the Chinese economy's ramp up.

The country's main sectors of activity are textiles, the steel industry, automotive manufacturing, shipbuilding and electronics. South Korea is the world's largest semiconductor producer (including major smelters). The country's trade balance has been largely in surplus since February 2012 and is expected to remain so for the next few years, while the country's main trading partners are China, Japan, the European Union and the United States.

Korea is a major player in global technology with leading players, which gives it strong growth potential but at the same time is dependent on complex geopolitical issues stemming from bad relations with Japan (because of war), China (because of its military alliance with the US) and of course North Korea, which threatens it with a nuclear strike.

The index remains very dependent on the technology sector, and as such very correlated to the Nasdaq, although less bullish for some time because of the chaotic path of Samsung threatened by Huawei in Asia and Europe.

Technical analysis

Monthly data analysis

The analysis of the monthly charts shows a gradual recovery of the uptrend, with a second leg up that just started and confirms the overrun of EMAs 12 and 26 after several weeks of hesitation. The oscillators confirm the positive inflection, which is still modest and more sluggish than in other world places, Asia included. An acceleration of the momentum seems possible after what may appear as a long accumulation phase.

Weekly data analysis

On the weekly charts, we can see the progress made on the technical level in recent weeks, including the bullish cross between the EMAS 12 & 26, the confirmed overtaking of the EMA100 and the crossing of the zero line by the MACD which comes in confirmation. All that's missing yet is a bullish impulse that will overtake the current resistance zone to validate the return to an uptrend.

 

Theme

KRW is a UCITS ETF, listed in EUR, which seeks to replicate MSCI Daily TR Net Emerging Markets Korea (114 korean companies)

Characteristics

Inception date 26/09/06
Expense ratio 0,45%
Benchmark MSCI Daily TR Net Emerging Markets Korea
Ticker KRW
Issuer Lyxor
UCITS Yes
EU-SD Status Out of scope
Currency
Exchange Euronext Paris
Assets Under Management 100 M€
Dividends Capitalization
PEA (France) No
SRD (France) Yes
Currency  Yes
Number of holdings 114
Risk 4/5

Country Breakdown

South Korea 100%

Sector Breakdown

Information Technology 41%
Financials 12%
Consumer discretionary 11%
Materials 8%
Industrials 7%
Consumer staples 6%
Communication services 5%
Others 9%

Top Ten Holdings

Samsung Electronics 27%
Hynix Semiconductor 6%
Samsung Electronics Pref 4%
Posco 3%
Shinhan Financial Group 2%
KB Financial Group 2%
Hyundai Motor 2%
Celltrion 2%
LG Chem 2%
NHN Corp 2%